Washington state just delivered an unfortunate crash course on U.S. health policy after the model aimed at “Wasteful and Inappropriate Service Reduction” led straight to higher costs and fewer treatments for seniors.
Does Medicare need prior authorizations? CMS designed WISeR to find an answer by testing whether bringing AI-driven prior auths (which are already widespread among private payors in Medicare Advantage) to traditional Medicare could cut down on wasteful spending.
- The six-year pilot kicked off in six states on January 1st (AZ, NJ, OK, OH, TX, WA), targeting a list of 13 “low value” services with a high potential for fraud or waste – most notably orthopedic pain management procedures and skin substitutes.
Washington is already tapping out. Less than five months in, Senator Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.) had enough data to publish her new report on the “clear risks of AI in Medicare.”
- Drawing on a Washington State Hospital Association survey of 16 hospitals, the report found that procedures previously approved within days are now taking 4 to 8 weeks.
- CMS’ own WISeR standards call for responses to providers within 1 day for urgent care and 3 days for routine care, both of which are now clocking in at 15 to 20 days.
You get what you pay for. WISeR compensates third-party administrators for each claim they deny, under the assumption that these denials account for the reduction in wasteful spending.
- That obviously creates some adverse incentives, which the report eloquently framed up by saying the model “incentivizes WISeR contractors to weaponize AI-driven medical determinations not for the sake of efficiency… but to maximize profitability.”
- As a result, Washington hospitals have had to add staff and increase hours to manage the surge in prior auths – not a great formula for lowering the cost of care.
The report went straight to the top. At a Senate hearing last week, Senator Cantwell made her case directly to HHS Secretary RFK Jr., who said “that kind of delay is unacceptable.”
- He went on to say that prior auths are there to prevent the government from being “ripped off” by unethical providers and only applies to 5% of services in Medicare.
- That might be accurate, but it doesn’t mean they aren’t high-volume services. A separate KFF analysis found that 86% of the 1.1M Medicare beneficiaries that used at least one of the services on WISeR’s list in 2024 received a pain management service.
The Takeaway
Reducing waste in Medicare is a worthy goal, but so far it looks like the best way to make it happen probably isn’t by adding prior auths to the program that many seniors specifically chose to avoid them.
