8VC just dropped its Vision for Healthcare AI in America, and it’s the best roadmap we’ve seen for removing the barriers between AI and its potential to transform medicine.
Great cakes have three layers, maybe four. Before 8VC shared its recipe for how AI can help fix things, it laid out the four main ingredients that it’ll be working with.
- Level 0: Administrative – AI that supports providers in the back office. Example: AI scheduling agents, scribes.
- Level 1: Assistive – AI that assists clinicians but doesn’t diagnose, treat, or triage, or prescribe medications to patients. Example: AI coaches, navigators.
- Level 2: Supervised Autonomous – AI that does all the things that Level 1 doesn’t, with decisions supervised by a clinician. Example: AI medication management.
- Level 3: Autonomous – AI that diagnoses, treats, triages, or prescribes medications completely on its own. Example: fully-autonomous triage lines.
Now for the vision. Most healthcare AI solutions currently live on Level 0. They’re creating real value for providers, but they aren’t going to steer the Titanic away from the iceberg.
- 8VC thinks the other levels might, but not unless we remove the legal barriers that are preventing our innovators from innovating.
Level 1. These solutions exist today, but assistive AI care models are being held back by a lack of broadly billable CPT codes for the services they render.
- Solution: Implement value-based reimbursement for assistive AI care models. 8VC describes a CMMI model with durable codes and case rates, which sounds like something most payors would be lining up to lobby for.
Level 2. All autonomous AI is considered Software as a Medical Device by the FDA, but the current performance bars are set too high. Driving tests don’t need to be F1 races.
- Solution: Align FDA approval benchmarks with real-world standards, not hypothetical ideals. LumineticsCore is a good example – the FDA required the tool to catch at least 85% of diabetic retinopathy cases, but most ophthalmologists land between 33-77%.
Level 3. Only a few policy changes are needed to open the door to Level 3 once we get to Level 2, the biggest of which is defining AI as a type of practitioner that’s eligible for reimbursement.
- Solution: Amend the Social Security Act to allow Medicare reimbursement for licensed AI. As it stands today, even if CMS created a code for a Level 3 service, it would still be illegal for Medicare to pay an AI company instead of the supervising physician.
The Takeaway
AI is going to have to level up if we want to transform healthcare experiences, costs, and ultimately outcomes. 8VC thinks we can get there if we let our builders build, and it even gave us a blueprint for getting out of our own way.
