Rock Health’s Innovation Maturity Curve Heading Into 2025

Rock Health is wrapping up the year in style by updating its Innovation Maturity Curve with the hottest trends of 2024, and sharing its predictions for what lies ahead.

The curve uses three major data categories to plot digital health innovations:

  • Research volume – gauges the potential of a topic through PubMed publications
  • Venture funding – tracks investment as a leading indicator of commercial interest 
  • Partnership activity – uses industry partnerships as a proxy for commercial traction

Here’s how 2023’s biggest trends progressed over the course of the year:

AI in Healthcare (Maturity Score: Developing) – Digital Health Wire readers know the AI hype cycle is still in full swing, with AI-first digital health startups landing $3.3B in venture capital through the end of Q3. AI partnerships also surged (Rock Health counted 80+, an undercount if anything), but 2024’s plateau in research activity gave another sign that we’re transitioning to practical applications and commercialization. 

  • Keep an eye on: We’re entering a phase of AI consolidation, with cutthroat competition for major accounts in segments like ambient documentation. As Big Tech inks their own partnerships and juggernauts like Epic double down on new features, “AI enablement will become table stakes across solutions rather than a core differentiator.”

Digital Obesity Care (Maturity Score: Developing) – Moving up from “Nascent” on last year’s curve, the conversation around obesity care has been transformed by GLP-1s and contributed to a rise in digital platforms to help patients access treatment and support.

  • Keep an eye on: Increased competition necessitates differentiation. With GLP-1 access still in flux, players need to build momentum with more than just prescribing (precision treatment planning, biometric tracking, support for co-occurring conditions like PCOS).

Food as Medicine (Maturity Score: Emerging) – FaM moved from a niche term to a buzzword (props to Rock Health for helping it happen), with category funding doubling on-year after big raises from players like Foodsmart ($200M). Payors, providers, and grocers contributed to over 30 new FaM partnerships this year.

  • Keep an eye on: FaM innovation is closely tied to reimbursement models for food delivery and nutrition consultations, so continued success hinges on sustained policy support. Assuming that happens – seems likely given the Make America Healthy Again chatter – 2025 could be another huge year.

The Takeaway

With the digital health recalibration now (mostly) behind us, Rock Health expects 2025 to give innovators a chance to demonstrate a measurable impact on outcomes and continue their trek along the maturity curve. The whole report is well worth checking out for details on smaller up-and-coming categories like new wearable form factors, digital twins, and climate tech.

CB Insights 2024 Digital Health 50

CB Insights unveiled its annual Digital Health 50 rankings of the most promising private digital health startups, and this year’s list certainly included many of the industry’s brightest stars.

Here’s the methodology / our disclaimer: The final cut was selected from a pool of 10k+ applicants based on “proprietary metrics” – Commercial Maturity and Mosaic Scores – along with data on partnerships, growth stats, and market adoption. (CB Insights is of course happy to share this data with its customers, but promises that being one of them doesn’t land you a spot on the list.)

With that out of the way, here’s a look at the Digital Health 50 (high-res version):

CB Digital Health 50

It’s tough to compare this list to last year’s given the ever-evolving categories and methodology, but CB Insights called out four key themes for the latest cohort:

  • AI is becoming foundational infrastructure: 36 of the 50 companies are building AI products, ranging from operational automation high-flyers like Laguna to specialized healthcare LLMs like Hippocratic AI. No surprises here.
  • Workflow efficiency is a key priority: 19 of the companies are streamlining administrative or clinical tasks, spanning document processing startups (Tennr) to ambient AI heavyweights (Abridge). These players seem like an obvious inclusion, but the same could be said last year when ambient AI was nowhere to be found.
  • Diagnostic innovations dominate: 11 companies comprised this year’s largest category, developing next-gen diagnostics across imaging (Airs Medical), pathology (Proscia), and non-invasive diagnostics (Alimetry). Diagnostics was in a three-way tie with Clinical Intelligence and Virtual Care, although the categories have some hazy boundaries. 
  • More specialized platforms: Virtual and hybrid care representation doubled in this year’s cohort, reflecting the shift from general telemedicine toward condition-specific virtual models in areas like mental health (Talkiatry) and cancer care (Resilience).

The Takeaway

Lists like these never fail to get pushback because of the methodology or glaring exclusions, but this year’s cohort feels pretty well aligned with the high momentum names that keep popping up in our own coverage. Major congrats to the companies that were included.

PHTI Delivers Mixed Review on Digital Hypertension Tools

Digital hypertension management solutions received a mixed report card from the Peterson Health Technology Institute’s latest evaluation, which found significant differences in performance depending on the treatment approach.

The 71-page report assessed clinical and economic evidence across three solution types:

  • Blood Pressure Monitoring – extend hypertension care beyond in-person visits using home monitoring devices that stream data back to providers. Ex. AMC Health, Health Recovery Solutions, VitalSight (Omron)
  • Medication Management – employ dedicated virtual care teams to coordinate medication adjustments as a supplement to the patients’ main primary care team. Ex. Cadence, Ochsner Digital Medicine, Story Health
  • Behavior Change – deliver educational content, alerts, reminders, and virtual interactions with coaches or care teams to improve hypertension self-management. Ex. Dario, Hello Heart, Lark, Omada, Teladoc (Livongo).

PHTI’s signature chart delivers a great summary of the findings:

The analysis found that all approaches across all payor types increase total healthcare spending over a three-year time horizon, because the cost of the solutions exceeds the savings from improved clinical outcomes.

The good news – at least for Medication Management and Behavior Change solutions – was that improvements in blood pressure over a 10-year window reduced patients’ risk of cardiovascular disease and prevented enough deaths to justify the cost.

  • PHTI found that only Medication Management solutions demonstrated significant blood pressure reductions compared to usual care, and recommended that this is the “most pressing area of integration” for most practice settings.
  • BP Monitoring showed “slightly greater, but not clinically meaningful declines,” but failed to breakeven at current RPM reimbursement levels.
  • Behavior Change approaches produced only “limited incremental declines,” which doesn’t support broad adoption for most patients but could still play a role for underserved populations with difficult access to usual care. 

Those findings naturally led to pushback from some of the companies named in the report. 

  • Omada said that the analysis “inadequately groups companies with very different offerings” and “narrowly focuses on select clinical metrics,” while underweighting user experience and patient-reported outcomes. 
  • PHTI responded to the critics by saying that “patients expect that clinically-focused digital solutions are improving their health. We can talk about competing on user experience… but we need to prove that they work.”

The Takeaway

There’s a high bar for digital solutions that need to justify their cost above standard care, and PHTI just raised that bar even higher for hypertension management. Not all approaches are created equal, and while some companies might not agree with PHTI’s findings, reports like these are a maturity milestone for digital health as a whole.

HLTH 2024 Recap and Major Announcements

That’s a wrap on HLTH 2024, and the showfloor was every bit as electric as outside on the Vegas strip.

Over 12k attendees made the trip out to Sin City, and they all had the same two things on their minds: Busta Rhymes and artificial intelligence.

The blind excitement of 2022 and the hallucination trepidation of 2023 gave way to calculated strategies on using AI to deliver results for patients, platforms, and everyone in between.

It was also refreshing to see the good ol’ fashioned innovation happening outside of the Cirque du Chatbots, and we rounded up the biggest announcements from the exhibit hall to help keep them all straight:

  • Artera overhauled its Harmony platform with a string of new features and an AI agent dynamic duo for Staff (translation, predictive text for patient comms, message shortening, EHR-integrated conversation summaries) and Insights (no-show reports and engagement analysis).
  • Blue Shield of California partnered with Salesforce to streamline the prior authorization process by co-developing a tool that’ll allow physicians and patients to receive PA answers in near-real-time during visits. 
  • Caregility is doubling Lee Health’s virtual acute care infrastructure to nearly 1,000 patient rooms by building on its existing fleet of telehealth wall systems and carts with additional APS200 Duo dual-camera devices.
  • CHAI – The Coalition for Health AI – published its draft frameworks for certifying independent Health AI Assurance Labs and standardizing the output of these labs with CHAI Model Cards, which are pretty much a “nutrition label” for AI solutions.
  • CirrusMD is making physician-first, on-demand healthcare available to over 55k for-hire-vehicle drivers in New York State through a new collaboration with The Black Car Fund.
  • Clarify Health joined forces with Prealize Health to help payors and providers anticipate utilization trends and proactively allocate resources. The fresh faces in Clarify’s C-suite also send a pretty clear signal that it sees market consolidation on the horizon and wants in on the M&A action.
  • CopilotIQ merged with Biofourmis to create “the first end-to-end platform” for delivering in-home care from pre-surgery to acute, post-acute, and chronic condition management. Massive news that we’ll be circling back on next week.
  • GE HealthCare launched an AI Innovation Lab to accelerate progress across areas like clinical decision-making, cancer recurrence predictions, and model training for medical imaging.
  • Healthie and Zocdoc are now able to access and update each other’s calendars using all the latest availability and booking information.
  • HealthSnap unveiled its new Principal Care Management program that delivers disease-specific pathways to patients with complex chronic conditions, enabling providers to comply with CMS requirements for PCM through automated eligibility reporting, care coordination, and tailored treatment plans.
  • Luma debuted the next iteration of its Patient Success Platform with the introduction of its LLM-powered Spark solution, which unlocks new capabilities like automated fax processing and “patient-facing omnichannel concierge” (AKA conversational phone chat).
  • Oracle Health debuted an end-to-end payments solution that handles gateway routing, processing, and acquiring under a single agreement, as well as a separate medical claims processing product dubbed Oracle Health Clinical Data Exchange.
  • Solera Health shared key findings from its new report showing that strategically supplementing in-person care with a multi-condition virtual care network could lead to a 2.3%-3.1% reduction in total cost of care. It was great kicking off the show with Solera diving into the details.
  • Spring Health took the lid off its Specialty Care solution that provides rapid access to intensive treatment for acute behavioral needs, addressing the harsh fragmentation within the mental health system by supporting 50+ conditions through a single platform.
  • Suki is bringing its AI documentation capabilities to Zoom’s telehealth platform, marking the startup’s second partnership along the same vein after teaming up with Amwell earlier this year.
  • Upfront is now live on the athenahealth Marketplace, bringing its suite of patient engagement solutions within closer reach of more providers.
  • Withings Health Solutions announced the launch of the BPM Pro 2, the first cellular blood pressure monitor to collect patient-reported outcomes and empower remote care programs to scale. Easily one of the best demos we’ve ever seen.
  • Wolters Kluwer Health showcased the integration of UpToDate within Abridge’s ambient AI platform that allows draft clinical documentation to include direct links to the latest, evidence-based recommendations.

We had a blast catching up with everyone at HLTH, and want to give a warm welcome to all of our new readers we met at the show! Stay tuned for deeper dives into many of these in next week’s Digital Health Wire.

IT Leaders Are Ready For New Solutions

The future’s looking bright for digital health after the Peterson Health Technology Institute’s 2024 State of Digital Health Purchasing Survey found that decision-makers across the industry are ramping up their tech investments.

  • The headlining stat: 97% of employers, 86% of health systems, and 84% of health plans intend to maintain or increase digital health spending in the coming year.

Three quarters of purchasers have already grown their budget for new solutions, motivated primarily by consumer demand (83%) and improved outcomes (62%).

  • Cost advantages were cited as a top investment driver for 60% of health plans and 49% of health systems, versus just 34% of employers.
  • Across all three groups, 43% have acquired enough solutions to address 6+ conditions, and it was interesting to see how their clinical priorities varied.

Purchasers are more hawk-eyed than ever when it comes to their contracts and vetting processes.

  • 59% of contracts have a duration under two years, leaving a short window for solutions to demonstrate clinical improvements and illustrate their value.
  • When comparing vendors, a proven track record was usually the deciding factor, beating out both ROI and ease-of-use for every group.

Looking ahead to next year, value-based care is top of mind, with 100% of employers expressing interest in risk-based contracts for new solutions, as well as 60% of health plans and 50% of health systems. Other top goals include:

  • 72% of health plans are looking to reduce costs and improve member experience
  • 74% of employers are looking to improve productivity
  • 80% of health systems are looking to improve patient experience

The Takeaway

Health plans, employers, and health systems all seem to be embracing the transformative magic of digital health, and this report gave vendors a way stack their decks with data on the unique priorities of each group.

Rock Health Q3 Update: Tapestry Weaving

Rock Health’s Q3 Digital Health Market Update showed that investors have found comfort strolling down a path of “focused funding,” with last quarter’s innovation story shifting from transaction volume to market positioning.

The U.S. digital health sector logged $2.4B in venture funding across 110 rounds in Q3 2024, bringing year-to-date funding to $8.2B. 

  • While Q3’s 110 rounds marked a slowdown from 136 in Q1 and 133 in Q2, average investment size held steady at $22M quarter-over-quarter, indicating that investors are honing their focus while continuing to make sharp plays.
  • The analysis also noted that investments are overlapping with partnerships, with companies keen to support startups they’ve already worked with in crowded spaces like healthcare AI – as seen with NVIDIA and Hippocratic AI.

The real narrative behind last quarter’s activity was what Rock Health referred to as “tapestry weaving,” or digital health players building up their offerings to compete with legacy leaders and market incumbents. The related graphic was easy on the eyes.

  • While Q3 mergers and acquisitions were also low at just 21 moves – versus a quarterly average of 37 last year – companies like Dario and Fabric are using M&A to integrate new capabilities and expand their footprint.
  • Like weaving a tapestry, both Dario’s addition of Twill and Fabric’s acquisition of TeamHealth VirtualCare stitched together different solutions to create a more robust platform and address a broader range of customer needs. 

Tapestry weaving isn’t exactly an easy hobby. It involves integrating different products, teams, and go-to-market strategies that all have a chance of backfiring along the way.

  • Big acquisitions help compete for big contracts, but they can also strain the acquirer’s balance sheet.
  • CVS is an easy example. In the last six years, CVS used $88B to add a major payor, a clinic operator, and a home-care provider to its flagship pharmacies. The entire company is now valued at less than the cost of those three moves ($83B current market cap).

The Takeaway

Although the raw count of digital health investments continues to drop off, activity volume isn’t the same as activity quality. The tapestry weaving trend is a reminder that the “true impact of digital health innovation is shaped in the details,” through its investment structures, targeted partnerships, and post-M&A playbooks.

2024 Trends Shaping the Health Economy

Trilliant Health just released its 2024 Trends Shaping the Health Economy Report, delivering a unique perspective on the healthcare market through the lens of supply and demand.

The fourth edition of the report builds on the core findings from the previous three:

  • 2021: Healthcare is a negative-sum game.
  • 2022: Every part of the health economy will be impacted by reduced yield.
  • 2023: The victors in healthcare’s negative-sum game will be those who deliver value.

This year’s 164 page analysis is organized into eight sections, each examining a significant macro trend and supported by a wide collection of data-driven stories:

  • 1) The healthcare system is disproportionately expensive. Despite spending nearly 2X more on healthcare than peer countries, utilization has remained largely unchanged, while increasing 7% in peer countries since 2000. U.S. outcomes are also far worse. (Page 11 Chart)
  • 2) Health status continues to decline. We’re seeing higher volumes of early onset cancers in patients under age 45 for breast (+6.6%), colon (+10.0%), and kidney (+2.1%) between 2018 and 2023. (Page 22 Chart)
  • 3) Government regulation is failing to produce value. This one’s a mixed bag. Regulating cigarettes decreased usage by 30%, but mandated reporting of quality measures hasn’t yielded enough improvement to offset the cost of reporting. (Page 46 Chart)
  • 4) The value of tech advancements is uncertain. Since 2018, multiple AI CPT codes have been introduced, but utilization remains infrequent and concentrated among cardiac conditions such as coronary artery disease and ECG cardiac dysfunction. (Page 77 Chart)
  • 5) Supply constraints are correlated with inadequate yield. The decrease in practicing physicians from 2019 to 2023 resulted in a -0.9% workforce reduction. Notably, 31.3% of physicians changed practice location over that time period. (Page 89 Chart)
  • 6) Forced consumerism has fostered fragmentation. Over 14% of patients with commercial coverage go out-of-network for behavioral health services, versus just 2% for physical care. (Page 111 Chart)
  • 7) Lower-cost care settings can offer better value. New treatment paradigms often start in the hospital but shift to new settings over time (due to new tools, reimbursement reform). How long will that continue? (Page 125 Chart)
  • 8) Employers are better equipped to demand value. Employers have historically been relatively passive in managing healthcare costs., but new transparency requirements compel them to change that. (Page 148 Chart)

The Takeaway

Trilliant’s report showcases the fact that the inputs of the U.S. healthcare system, as measured by cost, exceed the outputs, as measured by the actual value received by Americans. As Trilliant’s Head of Research Sanjula Jain puts it, “every stakeholder can – and must – deliver more value to their customers.”

Sync Fast and Solve Things

The “move fast and break things” motto might work wonders with consumer products, but a new editorial in npj Digital Medicine makes a compelling case that healthcare needs to flip that paradigm on its head and co-create with clinicians to “sync fast and solve things.”

The editorial argues that healthcare practitioners (HCPs) should play an active role in driving digital health innovation, as opposed to being passively “consulted” so that developers can tout the fact that their product is backed by clinicians.

  • The breakneck pace of digital innovation in the wake of the pandemic has outpaced the inclusion of HCPs in the co-creation of new solutions, leading to a fight-or-flight response where clinicians are reluctant to adopt said solutions to defend their traditional responsibilities. Separate research seems to back that up.
  • If new tools lack product insight and buy-in from HCPs, they’re significantly more likely to be doomed to clinical irrelevance, as showcased by a recent analysis that found 44% of digital health companies have a clinical robustness score of 0 out of 10.

Although it isn’t an earth-shattering revelation that HCPs have a solid grasp on the exact workflows needed to inform clinically relevant solutions, the authors offer three considerations for shifting from “passive” to “active” co-creation.

  • First, financial incentives alone aren’t enough to ensure busy clinicians can engage in meaningful co-creation. The most important incentive that companies can offer clinicians is time, particularly by delivering a product that can optimize workflow efficiency or help deliver quicker treatments.
  • Second, the article stresses a need to embed digital health technologies in clinical curricula so that HCPs can learn about not just using these new tools, but also translating their experience into better-informed products.
  • Lastly, the authors lay out why there’s a role for regulators to mandate that HCPs participate in digital health innovation, and suggest that payors and legislators consider augmenting their approval processes by requiring HCPs be involved in the development of new solutions to serve as a proxy for their clinical safety and efficacy.

The Takeaway

Healthcare clearly isn’t the best sandbox to “move fast and break things,” but this article is an important reminder that “sync fast and solve things” shouldn’t mean trading clinician input for speed. While passive co-creation might help with the marketing materials, giving clinicians an active role in product development is the only way to ensure their experience is reflected in digital innovation.

The Dynamics Steering Healthcare in Q3 2024

It’s rare that a mid-year trend roundup qualifies as the biggest story of the week, but it’s also rare that they’re as stellar as the one that former HHS policy leader Paul Mango just released.

Mr. Mango served juicy takes on three of the biggest trends shaking up the industry:

Trend #1) Payor transformation has been full-speed-ahead as payors seek success in managing beneficiaries with chronic conditions by developing their own disease management platforms (not to mention new arcs of growth help justify their climbing P/E ratios).

  • Evernorth is now 80% of Cigna’s total revenue and a whopping 68% of its profit – mostly as the result of its Express Scripts acquisition in 2018. In the first half of the year, Evernorth grew 29% while Cigna as a whole grew 4%.
  • United was obviously an early mover into non-health plan assets, but Optum is now the key growth driver for the entire enterprise. United Healthcare remains Optum’s largest client (accounting for two-thirds of its revenue), but Optum now represents 25% of UNH’s total revenue and 49% of its profit (thanks in large part to OptumRx).

Trend #2) Provider tailwinds are adding up as several key performance measures improve simultaneously, including higher volume, increased acuity for inpatients, and lower labor costs. 

  • HCA just posted same store revenue up 10% due to a combination of the aforementioned tailwinds. ACA exchange volume was up 46% (total commercial volume rose 12.5%), and contract labor costs were down 25%.
  • Even Community Health Systems, whose performance has lagged other national hospital chain operators, saw a 3.2% increase in admissions and a 4.7% bump to same store revenue. CHS axed contract labor costs by 39% year over year.

Trend #3) Medicare Part D upheaval has been emanating from the Inflation Reduction Act, which will take full effect on the 1st of next year.

  • Mango boils down the IRA’s impact on Part D as such: it shifted the economic burden from beneficiaries who are heavy consumers of prescription drugs to the payors issuing the plans. 
  • Medicare Part D has been around for twenty years and during that time the combination of the beneficiary’s premium and government’s subsidy only rose to $64.28. “The impact of the IRA in one year’s time will cause that to rise to $179.45.

The Takeaway

Where is all this payor transformation heading, especially as providers increasingly view them as competitors? Will health systems sustain their momentum, or is recent performance a reflection of pent-up pandemic demand? All eyes will be on next quarter’s numbers to find out, and you’ll be the first to know when we see them.

Spring Health Eyes IPO After $100M Series E

If 2024 wasn’t already the Year of Mental Healthcare, Spring Health’s $100 million Series E just cemented it.

The funding vaulted Spring’s valuation to $3.3B and made April Koh the youngest woman to helm a multibillion-dollar company in the process. Not bad for 31 years old!

Spring provides employers and health plans with access to a stable of over 10k contract therapists that can help improve outcomes while reigning in treatment costs.

  • At the core of Spring’s platform is Precision Mental Healthcare, which uses AI to analyze patient data (symptoms, socio-demographic, “key factors”) and quickly match individuals to appropriate care.
  • The value proposition seems to be resonating. Spring covers 10M lives through 450 directly contracted employers, strategic payor relationships, and channel partners.

The funding follows the recent expansion of Spring’s Global offering (soon to be available in 30 languages), the launch of Community Care (an SDOH initiative), and a big push for SpringWorks (a workplace culture program).

  • Spring also touted that it’s the only platform of its kind to receive external validation for delivering employers a net positive ROI.
  • That’s apparently been a key differentiator from other behavioral health heavy-hitters vying for the same employers. Headspace, Lyra, and Evernorth all jump to mind.

An investment memo from Series E participant Kinnevik helped color in the roadmap Spring outlined in its announcement.

  • Outside of fueling Spring’s expansion into higher acuity needs and pediatrics, the funding was intended to strengthen up its balance sheet ahead of an impending IPO.
  • The memo also revealed that Spring is in a good spot to be eyeing a public debut after growing run-rate revenue by 15x since 2021 and setting itself up to hit positive margins sometime next year. 

The Takeaway

Mental health is one of the defining problems of the decade, and Spring Health is at the forefront of addressing it. Scaling globally without sacrificing care quality is a delicate balance, but Spring believes that it’s “on track to build one of the world’s most valuable companies.”

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